Buying Gold – The Logic

Humans have been fascinated by gold for thousands of years, by the way it never tarnishes and by its unique color.

Sadly, gold is useless in engineering terms, except for plating electrical contacts, to ensure they never tarnish and lose their conductivity. The metal is too soft, with too low a tensile strength to be used for much besides necklaces and rings.

As an investment though, gold is a different story altogether. Why do people buy gold? It has zero intrinsic value.

Gold prices fall and rise, according largely to the degree of fear that people have about the future. When war is imminent gold prices soar.

When economic conditions are good, inflation low and employment rate high, gold prices fall. Under these conditions there are investments that are probably going to produce a better return than holding gold bars.

People buy gold because they fear the inflation and catastrophic share price collapse that normally accompanies war and political uncertainty. They buy gold because they think gold will hold its value.

Historically gold holds some value, whereas shares can lose all of their value overnight. However, anyone who buys gold at the high price associated with war will almost certainly lose money, when they sell at a lower price.

Conclusion – buy gold when everyone is saying to invest in the stock market. Sell gold when things are looking grim and there are lots of buyers out there.

If you do buy gold you need to appreciate that this investment has risk. The price of gold may fall. It may be years before you can sell your gold at a profit.

Until recently many countries made it illegal for individuals to hold gold bars or bullion. Individuals could buy gold coins and other items however. The South African Krugerrand was minted to exploit this opportunity and to earn much needed foreign exchange for that country during the years of economic sanctions.

Nowadays you can buy gold, silver and platinum coins in many denominations, including Canadian and US dollars, sterling crowns and sovereigns.

Gold – Why Isn’t It Soaring?

I get more emails, letters and phone calls about gold than anything else. An almost religious fervor seems to go along with being a gold bug. My bearish view on gold usually comes as a shock to worshipers. Yet year after year the precious yellow metal refuses to reach for the stars like it is supposed to. Why is this?

The most common belief by gold bugs seems to be that everyone will flock to gold as the ultimate hedge against inflation, international crisis, currency collapse and all other things apocalyptic. The latest global credit crunch may well be the trigger that finally brings about the demise of the US dollar, and when everyone finally loses faith in paper money, stocks, bonds, real estate, governments and central banks, gold will be the one last haven of security. Better to buy it now before the price explodes and we are talking about gold in terms of thousands of dollars an ounce instead of hundreds. The Fed will try and print their way out of trouble, which will cause hyperinflation, and Uncle Sam will be happy because his skyrocketing debt will cost less to service. The only asset of real value will be gold, which is finite. Panic driven demand will push the price beyond anything we have even thought of.

Sounds familiar? Only problem is I think it’s dead wrong. If you want to pay the current price of around $660 an ounce, by all means do so. But I believe you will be paying three or four times too much for it.

Don’t get me wrong. I am a gold bug at heart. Yes, I can see the day when gold will be thousands of dollars an ounce. But not before it falls to less than $200 an ounce.

In my book and newsletters I have used charts to explain the main reason for my bearishness on gold in the short to medium term. Every five wave move is corrected in three. Waves follow form, not the clock. Gold has been in a bear market for 27 years since its $875 high in January 1980 and it is far from over. The $740 high in May 2006 was only wave B. Not until wave C is complete can gold enter a new bull market.

Now what about the likely economic backdrop to the technical picture I have painted? Well, the title of my book is “How to Profit from the Coming Great Depression.” So that probably indicates where I see the economy in the future.

Every depression in history has been accompanied by DEFLATION, not INFLATION!

The technicals and the fundamentals match. Gold does not like deflation. In a deflationary period, cash is king. So what if the US dollar falls against the euro or the pound or the yen? Why will that concern you if you earn your income and spend it in US dollars? You will only be directly affected if you are transacting in those other currencies. Yes, eventually import prices might rise. But for quite a time that will be more than offset against discounts everywhere as shopkeepers try desperately to keep the doors open. With each price drop your dollar buys more. Why would you want your money in gold, which pays no interest and is falling in value?

Don’t worry, when I think the time is right to buy gold I will be screaming my lungs out (well, maybe my keyboard). But that time is not now. Even in the near future I can see gold falling below $500 an ounce. And yes, this should coincide with a rally in the US dollar.

And don’t forget: In 2001 I was screaming out my recommendation to buy gold when every man and his dog had cast it to the scrap heap. The gold price rose from not much above $250 an ounce to almost $750. I am not always bearish on gold. It’s just that, like any other asset, there is a time to buy it and there is a time to sell it. Now is not the time to buy it, in my opinion.

Gold Coins Are An Excellent Investment

If you are looking for coins with definite investment potential, gold coins are an excellent place to start. Though they are expensive when starting out, the investment value of gold itself makes them a very attractive option. And, because gold is bought and sold routinely on the commodities market, it is easy to stay on top of the price of gold, making it easy to follow the price of your gold coins. Which makes gold coins the equivalent of stocks or bonds for the coin collector.

Admittedly, it is not always easy to get into the market for gold coins. After all, gold is expensive, so coins made from gold are going to be pretty pricey. However, there are usually several weights available, so you will be able to find something that will fit your price range. However, when looking for gold coins, it is usually fairly easy to find a dealer. Many coin dealers are attached to the gold coin market and, if they cannot sell them to you directly, they will be able to connect you with someone who can.

There are also several internet merchants who offer gold coins, but it is a good idea to be careful when shopping online. After all, there are a lot of proper merchants out there, but there are also a lot of shady folks looking to make some quick money. So, before purchasing online, do some research and check the vendors out thoroughly. Be especially careful of anyone selling coins for prices that are lower than the market value for gold. This is a case where anything that seems too good to be true absolutely is too good to be true, because nobody is going to sell you anything at a loss – especially not a commodity like gold.

Of course, because gold is a commonly bought and sold commodity, the value of your gold coins can be tracked easily. The price can be found online, in the newspapers, and on the evening news. And, because the prices of gold coins are tied to the price of the gold that it contains, you don’t have to worry about the coin market itself. While collectible coins may have upswings and downswings, gold not only increases in value over time, but it also tends to keep its value very well. Which means that gold coins are a way to stabilize your investments as you place your money into a very tangible resource.

When looking for a solid investment that does not require a great deal of knowledge and research, gold coins are a very good place to start. They are easy to find, their value is easy to determine, and they are steady, reliable investments that will hold their value better than almost anything else. And, let’s face it, gold coins are just plain neat to look at. So, if you are looking for a tangible, sturdy investment that is not only valuable, but attractive as well, gold coins will make you happy every time.

Gold Investing for Profits

Tradionally, many investors shunt gold and invest in equities or fixed income markets. With the price of gold performing extremely well, alot of investors are turning their attention on gold.

The price of gold has topped US$700 recently. Gold has been in a bullish run since 2000. What is the implication? Will gold continue to rise in the future? Is it time to invest in Gold now? How to invest in Gold?

The rise in price of Gold is due to a number of factors. Some of them are listed below.

1. International tensions and Bad times

During internation tensions and war, gold will always hold it values. Sometimes, investors trade currency for gold In recent Iran and US nuclear issues, price of gold was shot up to US$700 in fear of oil prices rising. US dollars and inflation along with high federal trade deficit and debt have make investors buying gold to heged against currency flunctuations.

Though now the price is fallen slightly, it believe that gold is a good investment tool to use as a safe haven in time of crisis and bad times.

2. Supply and Demand Fundamentals

When the price of gold rise, more investors will buy gold. Since the supply and production of gold is limited, it will not be able to keep up with the increasing demand from the market. This will make the price of gold rally further.

3. Stock Market Bearish vs Gold Market Bullish

Gold always perform opposite of stock market historically. When stock markets are performing badly lately, gold markets were bullish. With uncertain economic and global conditions, some analyst believe that gold will further appreciate its value and continued its bullish run for long term.

It is never too late to invet in gold now!

There are a few ways to invest in gold which are shown below.

1. Gold Jewelery

Gold jewelery is a popular means of investing as savings in developing countries like India and Middle East.

2. Gold Bullion and Coins

Gold Bullion are gold bars in 1g to 400g. Goid coins are legal tendar of issuing countries and usually sell at a small premium above current spot gold price. Popular investment grade coins are US Eagle, Canadian Maple Leaf,

3. Gold Certifcates or Accounts

These are ownerships rights to gold bullion held by a financial instution such as a central bank for safe keeping.

4. Gold Mining Stocks

These are stocks of gold mining and exploration companies. When price of gold rises, some mining stocks offer handsome dividends when the issuing companies profits.

5. Gold Mutual Funds

These are funds that have gold in the portfolio managed by professional fund managers. Some funds are region specific (such as US) or spread across different mining companies.

No matter what kind of instruments you choose to invest in, you have to mix your portfolio with the right proportion with your equities. The strategy to investin gold is to have balance portfolio with diversification. The objective is to use gold as a hedge against flunctuations in fixed income market. The best strategy is to start with 10 % level of your portfolio to invest in gold and slowly varies you level of gold to increase your portfolio stability.

Gold Jewellery Has Been Prized for Thousands of Years

Gold jewellery has been prized for literally thousands of years for its beauty, being used both to show enormous wealth and as an expression of love and affection. You probably know that gold goes back to the time of the Pharaohs, who wore it all over their bodies, and were buried with it upon their death.

Today, gold jewellery is everywhere. It’s most commonly seen as rings on the fingers of married or engaged people, or as earrings, but many people also put jewellery in their nose, tongue or belly button, among other places. Hip hop culture has led to a resurgence in large pieces of gold jewellery being worn as a deliberate show of wealth, as ‘bling’, and this fashion has spread to many of the world’s young people.

When you buy gold jewellery, there are two important things to consider: the first is what the piece itself actually looks like (the quality of the jewellery itself), and the second is the purity of the gold, measured in carats. Although many people can be snobbish about low-carat gold, it is often what you do with it that counts, with a well-made piece from lower-quality gold actually being much more pleasing than a badly-made piece from expensive gold, and cheaper to boot.

Of course, if you’re not into gold, there are plenty of alternatives. Silver is gaining in popularity all the time, as a way to stand out from the crowd and counter the perception of some that gold is tacky, and platinum is also a well-regarded metal for jewellery-making. It’s possible to make just about anything into nice jewellery given time and skill, with some interesting materials to try being glass, shells and even wood – you can even make your own jewellery out of inexpensive beads and string, if you’re looking for something unique.